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Growing Science » Authors » Atje Setiawan Abdullah

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Sort articles by: Volume | Date | Most Rates | Most Views | Reviews | Alphabet
1.

Development of the GSTARIMA(1,1,1) model order for climate data forecasting Pages 773-788 Right click to download the paper Download PDF

Authors: Ajeng Berliana Salsabila, Budi Nurani Ruchjana, Atje Setiawan Abdullah

DOI: 10.5267/j.ijdns.2024.1.001

Keywords: Data analytics lifecycle, GSTARIMA(3, 1, 1) model, Big Data, Climate

Abstract:
The space-time model combines spatial and temporal elements. One example is the Generalized Space-Time Autoregressive (GSTAR) Model, which improves the Space-Time Autoregressive (STAR) model. The GSTAR model assumes that each location has heterogeneity characteristics, and that the data is stationary. In this research, the moving average component is calculated by involving the relationship between variable values at a certain time and residual values at a previous time, and it is assumed that the data is not stationary, so the model used is the Generalized Space-Time Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (GSTARIMA) Model. The model order for GSTARIMA is determined through the Space-Time Autocorrelation Function (STACF) and Space-Time Partial Autocorrelation Function (STPACF) to ensure accurate forecasting. Previous research only discussed the GSTARIMA(1,1,1) model, so in this research, the GSTARIMA(3,1,1) model will be addressed as a form of development of the GSTARIMA(1,1,1) model and applied to climate data. The climate data used in this research is sourced from NASA POWER and consists of rainfall variables with large data sizes, requiring the use of the data analytics lifecycle method to analyse Big Data. The lifecycle includes six phases: discovery, data preparation, model planning, model building, communicating results, and operationalization. Based on the data processing results with Python software, the GSTARIMA(3,1,1) model has a MAPE value of 9% for out-sample data and 11% for in-sample data. In contrast, the GSTARIMA(1,1,1) model has a MAPE value of 11% for out-sample data and 12% for in-sample data. So the GSTARIMA(3,1,1) model provides more accurate forecasting results. Therefore, selecting the correct model order is crucial for accurate forecasting.
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Journal: IJDS | Year: 2024 | Volume: 8 | Issue: 2 | Views: 746 | Reviews: 0

 
2.

Web-based information system framework for the digitization of historical databases and endowments Pages 319-328 Right click to download the paper Download PDF

Authors: R. Sudrajat, Budi Nurani Ruchjana, Atje Setiawan Abdullah, Rahmat Budiarto

DOI: 10.5267/j.ijdns.2023.9.022

Keywords: Endowments, Datasets, Frameworks, Graph Databases, Semantic Networks

Abstract:
With the digitization of historical databases and endowments, care must be taken when designing the framework for an information system on the web. Because conflicts arise frequently in reality, different data management requirements are necessary for the preservation of waqf property. For the purpose of creating and putting into place historical information systems and endowments for this inheritance, it is necessary to develop an acceptable management plan. An inheritance that is thought to be distinct from customary ones since it is governed by its own law is referred to as waqf, as an example. They typically comprise histories and endowments that need to be protected to ensure sustenance among the population and to ensure they live up to the standards of the community and country. This research was compiled and analyzed to support stakeholders in producing a more practical, focused, and value-delivery framework. The datasets were mapped based on relationships, graph databases, and semantic networks. Moreover, the framework was developed using several data representation models to ensure easier, faster, and more accurate methods of displaying the data. Relationships, graph databases, and semantic networks were used to map the datasets. The design was made available to users, administrators, and managers, with the latter group being in charge of maintaining data control over each entity. The case study was conducted using historical information and waqf from the Nadzir Pangeran Sumedang Indonesia Waqf Foundation (YNWPS) in the Kingdom of Sumedang Larang Indonesia (KSL).` The creation of a web-based information system to keep track of the data in each entity and ensure better preservation of historical genealogical databases and endowments was made simpler by the structured framework design.
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Journal: IJDS | Year: 2024 | Volume: 8 | Issue: 1 | Views: 1305 | Reviews: 0

 
3.

Literature review on the information system for digitization of royal history and Waqf Pages 1839-1848 Right click to download the paper Download PDF

Authors: R. Sudrajat, Budi Nurani Ruchjana, Atje Setiawan Abdullah, Rahmat Budiarto

DOI: 10.5267/j.ijdns.2023.7.008

Keywords: Information System, Digitalization, History, Waqf, Integration, Ontology

Abstract:
There has been a significant increase in the study of the history and culture of historical artifacts, whether they take the form of cultural heritage or Waqf. A literature review of web-based information systems was conducted for digitizing historical preservation and Waqf. Papers were sourced from various databases, including Publish or Perish, which produced 1043 journals, 370 articles, and 673 items from reputable sources, Google Scholar, and Crossref, respectively. The focus of the literature review was the information system for digitizing history and Waqf and integrating ontology databases. This literature review study aims to trace the evolution of study objects related to history and endowments. The results showed that most studies emphasized the user-understanding aspect of digitization, while the technical aspect was focused on using cutting-edge technology, such as 3D and virtual reality.
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Journal: IJDS | Year: 2023 | Volume: 7 | Issue: 4 | Views: 789 | Reviews: 0

 
4.

Python script fuzzy time series Markov chain model for forecasting the number of diseases cocoa plant in Bendungan district Pages 627-636 Right click to download the paper Download PDF

Authors: Ajeng Berliana Salsabila, Firdaniza Firdaniza, Budi Nurani Ruchjana, Atje Setiawan Abdullah

DOI: 10.5267/j.ijdns.2023.3.009

Keywords: Python, Fuzzy Time Series Markov Chain, Cocoa plant diseases

Abstract:
Cocoa is a plantation commodity whose role is essential for the economy, so it is necessary to be aware of its health to maximize production. Cocoa plant disease data is a time series data because it is observed continuously. One of the time series forecasting models is the Fuzzy Time Series Markov Chain (FTS-MC), a combination of the Fuzzy Time Series (FTS) and Markov Chain models. The model uses the principle of fuzzy logic by transferring FTS data to fuzzy logic and using the obtained fuzzy logic groups to derive the Markov chain transition matrix. In this research, a Python script of the FTS-MC model was built in the Google Colaboratory to forecast the number of cocoa plant diseases in Bendungan District to simplify and speed up the data processing. Python was used in this research because of its easy-to-use, flexible, and open-source syntax. In building Python scripts, libraries and functions are needed by utilizing loop processes and if-else statements. Based on the processing results, forecasting with the FTS-MC model using Python only takes less than 1 minute.
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Journal: IJDS | Year: 2023 | Volume: 7 | Issue: 2 | Views: 918 | Reviews: 0

 
5.

Clustering spatial autoregressive kriging model for climate: A bibliometric analysis approach Pages 637-646 Right click to download the paper Download PDF

Authors: Annisa Nur Falah, Budi Nurani Ruchjana, Atje Setiawan Abdullah, Juli Rejito

DOI: 10.5267/j.ijdns.2023.3.008

Keywords: Clustering, SAR, Kriging, Climate Change

Abstract:
Climate change is caused by temperature, rainfall, and wind variation in locations that last a long time. This change can be described and predicted using a spatial model, one of which is the Clustering Spatial Autoregressive (SAR) Kriging model. Therefore, this research aims to conduct a bibliometric analysis in a spatial and Clustering SAR Kriging model on climate change. It presents a Systematic Literature Review (SLR) with the development of the Clustering SAR Kriging model, incorporating articles from the Google Scholar, ScienceDirect, Dimensions AI, and Scopus databases from 2011-2021. Furthermore, two stages of analysis have been conducted, first, bibliometric analysis was performed for mapping and thematic evolution using VOSviewer software and R-biblioshiny. This analysis generated 185 papers after conducting a duplication check and developed a network of research on evolutionary subject matters at this stage. Second, research subjects were analyzed using the Clustering SAR Kriging model. More screening criteria were followed, and 18 articles were obtained for the SLR analysis. Furthermore, the development of the Clustering SAR Kriging model was observed for the prediction and description of climate change. The results are predicted to benefit applicable businesses to predict climate phenomena in unobserved places.
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Journal: IJDS | Year: 2023 | Volume: 7 | Issue: 2 | Views: 852 | Reviews: 0

 

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