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Sort articles by: Volume | Date | Most Rates | Most Views | Reviews | Alphabet
1.

Estimating the Value-at-Risk (VaR) in stock investment of insurance companies: An application of the extreme value theory Pages 749-758 Right click to download the paper Download PDF

Authors: Riaman Riaman, Amarulla Octavian, Sudradjat Supian, Sukono Sukono, Jumadil Saputra

DOI: 10.5267/j.dsl.2023.7.001

Keywords: Risk, Investment, Insurance, Extreme Value Theory

Abstract:
As a capital market investment, stocks have risks that must be managed. Therefore, investors should consider the returns and risks of investment products. This study aims to estimate the risk of insurance companies' loss when investing. The method used to estimate the level of risk is Value at Risk (VaR) based on Extreme Value Theory (EVT). The data used is secondary data in the form of daily stock closing prices from two insurance companies, AXA General Insurance and BRI Insurance, from January 2016 to January 2022. The data were used to estimate the risk value according to the EVT principle. As a result, Insurance AXA General Insurance, with 5.91% liquidity, has the lowest VaR value with a 99% confidence level, while BRI Insurance has 5.04%. We concluded from these results that AXA General Insurance has a lower investment risk. It means that each company has a different risk value. Therefore, investors should know these risk factors when choosing a company.
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Journal: DSL | Year: 2023 | Volume: 12 | Issue: 4 | Views: 1036 | Reviews: 0

 
2.

Analysing the decision making for agricultural risk assessment: An application of extreme value theory Pages 351-360 Right click to download the paper Download PDF

Authors: Riaman Riaman, Sukono Sukono, Sudradjat Supian, Noriszura Ismail

DOI: 10.5267/j.dsl.2021.2.003

Keywords: Agricultural Insurance, Risk Assessment, Climate Variables, Extreme Value Theory

Abstract:
As the most contributed sectors in agriculture, rice farming is facing various risks, namely uncertainty such as crop failure caused by climate change, including air temperature, weather, rainfall and others. Indonesia is categorised as an agricultural country with a tropical climate. By this season, the farmers can plant the rice. Rice farming is currently an inseparable part of most agricultural societies in Indonesia, especially in West Java. However, changes in air temperature, weather and annual rainfall, can increase the uncertainty and upward the risk of crop failure. Thus, the current study seeks to investigate the decision making for agricultural risk assessment (climate variable) through the formulation of a risk model for agricultural insurance in Indonesia. This study utilised the climate variables, which consist of air temperature, wind speed, maximum and minimum temperatures, and rainfall. For determining the magnitude of risk, we applied the Block Maxima method and Peak Over Threshold. The results of this study found that the highest risk of losses occurred in November, December, January, February and March with a value of 0.17485.
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Journal: DSL | Year: 2021 | Volume: 10 | Issue: 3 | Views: 1538 | Reviews: 0

 

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