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Sort articles by: Volume | Date | Most Rates | Most Views | Reviews | Alphabet
1.

A novel approach for risk evaluation and risk response planning in a geothermal drilling project using DEMATEL and fuzzy ANP Pages 225-242 Right click to download the paper Download PDF

Authors: Alireza Ghassemi, Ayoub Darvishpour

DOI: 10.5267/j.dsl.2017.10.001

Keywords: Risk response planning, Risk evaluation, Project risk management, Geothermal drilling project, Fuzzy MCDM

Abstract:
Risk response planning is a widely concerned issue. Project managers usually struggle to control different kinds of risks. In project risk management, after evaluating risks, the final process relates to choosing desirable responses to the risks. In this paper, a comprehensive framework confronts the issue in three main phases. In the first phase, all the risks, responses and their relations in a geothermal drilling project are detected. These relations imply there are inner dependent and outer dependent relations. In the second phase, ANP, DEMATEL and fuzzy theory play important roles in weighting risks and responses. In the third phase, to enable a more realistic solution, a zero-one integer programming reflects a budget constraint and other required constraints. After obtaining the optimal responses, the effect of budget is analyzed. In addition, the influences of risks on each other are discussed more deeply. Collectively, this study offers a new perspective on how to handle project risks and choose their responses
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Journal: DSL | Year: 2018 | Volume: 7 | Issue: 3 | Views: 2126 | Reviews: 0

 
2.

Fuzzy inference system-Latin hypercube simulation: An integrated hybrid model for OHS risks management Pages 127-140 Right click to download the paper Download PDF

Authors: Ehsan Haqiqat, Yahia Zare Mehrjerdi, Ali Zare Bidaki

DOI: 10.5267/j.jpm.2018.11.001

Keywords: Occupational Health and Safety, Healthcare System, Construction Projects, Risk Evaluation, Risk management, sensitivity analysis, Integrated hybrid model

Abstract:
Risk management in construction industry in several cases is not only incomplete regarding the unification of Occupational Health and Safety (OHS) hazards, but it is also incomplete in not having a systematic and innovative method to assess the impacts of these risks on the objectives of a project. An integrated hybrid Fuzzy Inference System-Latin Hypercube Simulation for the evaluation of OHS risks in construction projects is presented in this paper. Prioritization of safety risks systematically without human interference with fuzzy inference system gives the appropriate response to the identified risks. An advanced Monte Carlo simulation is also used for the evaluation of quantitative objectives of a project. This approach allows us to get away from discrimination and simulate the risks with high impacts but with low probabilities. In order to measure the relationship between the occurrences of each of the risks impacts on project objectives, the sensitivity analysis based on Pearson correlation coefficient is used to determine the usefulness of the proposed integrated hybrid method.
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Journal: JPM | Year: 2019 | Volume: 4 | Issue: 2 | Views: 2660 | Reviews: 0

 
3.

Evaluating high risks in large-scale projects using an extended VIKOR method under a fuzzy environment Pages 463-476 Right click to download the paper Download PDF

Authors: S Ebrahimnejad, SM Mousavi, R Tavakkoli-Moghaddam, M Heydar

DOI: 10.5267/j.ijiec.2011.12.001

Keywords: VIKOR, Fuzzy sets, Large-scale projects, Risk evaluation

Abstract:
The complexity of large-scale projects has led to numerous risks in their life cycle. This paper presents a new risk evaluation approach in order to rank the high risks in large-scale projects and improve the performance of these projects. It is based on the fuzzy set theory that is an effective tool to handle uncertainty. It is also based on an extended VIKOR method that is one of the well-known multiple criteria decision-making (MCDM) methods. The proposed decision-making approach integrates knowledge and experience acquired from professional experts, since they perform the risk identification and also the subjective judgments of the performance rating for high risks in terms of conflicting criteria, including probability, impact, quickness of reaction toward risk, event measure quantity and event capability criteria. The most notable difference of the proposed VIKOR method with its traditional version is just the use of fuzzy decision-matrix data to calculate the ranking index without the need to ask the experts. Finally, the proposed approach is illustrated with a real-case study in an Iranian power plant project, and the associated results are compared with two well-known decision-making methods under a fuzzy environment.
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Journal: IJIEC | Year: 2012 | Volume: 3 | Issue: 3 | Views: 3486 | Reviews: 0

 

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