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Sort articles by: ๐Ÿ“– Volume | ๐Ÿ“… Date | โญ Most Rates | ๐Ÿ‘๏ธ Most Views | ๐Ÿš€ Rising Stars | ๐Ÿ”— Citations (Scopus) | ๐Ÿ”ฅ Hot Papers
1.

Examining macroeconomic determinants of the stock market performance: Evidence from Saudi Arabia Pages 23-34 PDF Download PDF

Authors: Mohamed Sharif Bashir Elsharif, Samaha Ismail Mohammad Hassan

doi 10.5267/j.dsl.2025.11.003

๐Ÿ”‘ Keywords: Economic growth, Inflation, Stock market, Monetary policy, Foreign investment, Capital market

Abstract:
This research examines Saudi Arabia's stock market performance from 1991 to 2021 while exploring the long-term and immediate effects of economic factors. The study employs Johansen cointegration tests alongside the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to analyse the influence of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), inflation, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), trade balance and government expenditure on stock market performance. The research shows that macroeconomic variables affect market capitalisation results since GDP growth and trade openness lead to positive stock market performance; however, FDI and inflation create inconsistent effects. Results indicate the stock market maintains a long-term equilibrium between variables, leading to long-term correction of market deviations. The present study extends the discussion in the literature by offering a comprehensive and empirical analysis of the Saudi Equity Market as related to the economic diversification process, with a focus on the Saudi Arabia Vision 2030. This research calls for a solid and pro-active fiscal framework to stem inflation, attract good quality foreign capital and enhance the financial institutions. They are very useful in the formulation of strategic development plans that would foster long-term sustainable growth and increase investor confidence. The findings of this study are useful for policymakers, investors, and other analytical experts interested in the relationship between economic determinants and capital market returns, specifically within the context of Saudi Arabia, a young economy in the group of commodity-exporting countries. This study contributes original empirical evidence on the long- and short-run effects of macroeconomic indicators on stock market performance in Saudi Arabia. By applying the VECM approach across a 31-year period, it offers valuable insights for policymakers and investors in managing financial markets during economic diversification under Vision 2030.
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Journal: DSL | Year: 2026 | Volume: 15 | Issue: 1 | Views: 776

 
2.

The effect of inflation on income inequality: Evidence from a non-linear dynamic panel data analysis in indonesia Pages 639-648 PDF Download PDF

Authors: Betty Uspri, Syafruddin Karimi, Indrawari Indrawari, Endrizal Ridwan

doi 10.5267/j.dsl.2023.4.001

๐Ÿ”‘ Keywords: Inequality, Inflation, Gini Index, Generalized Method of Moment (GMM), Indonesia

Abstract:
This research investigates the impact of inflation on income inequality in Indonesia. This study is part of a comprehensive examination investigating which monetary policy can be utilized to lessen inequality. As a central bank objective, inflation can influence the distribution of income, wealth, and endogenous consumption, hence defining inequality. This study employed dynamic panel data analysis for linear autoregressive data using the generalized method of moments (GMM) for both first differences GMM (FD-GMM or AB-GMM) and system GMM (Sys-GMM or BB-GMM) with regional data from 58 cities in 2010-2020. The Arellano-Bond estimator reveals a positive and statistically significant association between inflation and inequality. When inflation rises, the purchasing power of the poor will decline, while the wealthiest will benefit as their non-cash assets proliferate. This study finds, indirectly, that Indonesiaโ€™s monetary policy can play a crucial role in lowering income distribution gaps. As one of the nations with an inflation-targeting framework, the Indonesian Central Bank can target the inflation rate by considering inequality. The ITF becomes the most effective monetary policy for stabilizing prices and promoting economic stability. The ITF reduces income inequality by reducing inflation rates. The study also finds that, similar to other emerging nations, economic growth in Indonesia exacerbates inequality. Poverty can be reduced by increased economic growth, but the positive impact of development on the wealthy is significantly more significant than on the poor. Therefore, economic expansion increases inequality.
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Journal: DSL | Year: 2023 | Volume: 12 | Issue: 3 | Views: 2446

 
3.

An analysis of the dynamics of petroleum prices and inflation in Malawi Pages 253-260 PDF Download PDF

Authors: Fredrick Mangwaya Banda, Andrew Munthopa Lipunga

doi 10.5267/j.ac.2025.7.001

๐Ÿ”‘ Keywords: Inflation, Petroleum, Autoregressive distributed lag, Monetarist approach, Structuralist approach

Abstract:
Owing to the immense negative effects brought about by inflation on the economies globally, politicians and policymakers are preoccupied with finding ways of controlling inflation. This study, therefore, set out to find out how prices of petroleum products, namely; diesel, paraffin, and petrol, affect inflation in Malawi. It employs the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model using time series data on inflation and prices of petroleum products collected from the Reserve Bank of Malawi (RBM) and Malawi Energy Regulatory Authority (MERA). The empirical findings show that the price of petrol, the price of diesel, and the price of paraffin have a statistically positive effect on inflation in Malawi, both in the short run and the long run. These findings imply that increases in the prices of these commodities will lead to increases in inflation both in the short run and the long run. The study, therefore, recommends that policymakers need to make sure that prices of petroleum products are kept as low as possible to control inflation in Malawi. This can take the form of ensuring the existence of huge foreign exchange reserves to be used to stabilize the foreign exchange market, to ensure that the Malawi Kwacha does not depreciate anyhow.
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Journal: AC | Year: 2025 | Volume: 11 | Issue: 4 | Views: 377

 
4.

Gross domestic product, savings, investment and inflation, an ARDL approach and Toda-Yamamoto causality: Evidence from Zimbabwe Pages 19-30 PDF Download PDF

Authors: Talent Kondo, Simba Mutsvanga, Tonderai Kanyekany

doi 10.5267/j.ac.2025.1.001

๐Ÿ”‘ Keywords: Gross Domestic Product, Savings, Investment, Inflation, ARDL, Toda-Yamamoto Causality

Abstract:
This study examined the causal relationships between inflation, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), domestic savings, and investment in Zimbabwe using Toda-Yamamoto causality tests and the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach with secondary data spanning from 1990-2022. The Granger causality analysis revealed a bidirectional causal effect between inflation and GDP, indicating that inflation significantly impacts the country's economic growth. Additionally, the analysis showed a unidirectional causal relationship from inflation to domestic savings, suggesting that high and persistent inflation can erode the value of existing savings and discourage individuals from saving. Furthermore, the study found a distinct causal flow from savings to investment, without feedback in the opposite direction, highlighting the crucial role of a robust savings culture in providing the necessary foundation for sustained investment and economic growth. The ARDL approach provided further insights into the dynamic relationships between these variables. In the short run, lagged GDP and current and lagged savings positively influenced GDP, while the second lag of savings had a negative impact, supporting the Carroll-Weil hypothesis that savings typically follow, rather than precede, economic growth in the short run. The analysis also found a positive short-run and long-run relationship between investment and GDP, supporting the view that investment is an important factor of economic growth. The study recommends that the policy makers can leverage the synergies between savings, investment, and inflation management to foster sustained economic growth and development in line with the government development policies. Developing policies to attract savings and reduce the cost of savings, as well as promoting long-term savings over transactional savings, can increase the country's overall savings base.
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Journal: AC | Year: 2025 | Volume: 11 | Issue: 1 | Views: 574

 
5.

The impact of exchange rate on inflation and economic growth in Vietnam Pages 1051-1060 PDF Download PDF

Authors: Thanh Tung Hoang, Van Anh Nguyen Thi, Hoang Dinh Minh

doi 10.5267/j.msl.2019.11.004

๐Ÿ”‘ Keywords: Exchange rate, Vector regression model, VAR model, Growth, Inflation, Macro factors, Macroeconomic Variables

Abstract:
In this article, the research team uses the VAR self-regression vector model to evaluate the impact of exchange rates on inflation and economic growth in Vietnam over the period 2005-2018. With six endogenous variables included in the VAR model: bilateral real exchange rate (Er), money supply (M2), exports (X), imports (IM), GDP at 2010 comparative prices (GDPR), the consumer price index (CPI) and the two exogenous variables, international price (Pw) and US Federal Reserve interest rate (Ifed), the research team examines the impact of exchange rates on endogenous variables in the model and considers the reaction of inflation and economic growth on various shocks. Based on the quantitative results, the research team will recommend some discus-sions to contribute for the improvement of Vietnam's macro environment, trade balance, inflation control, and economic growth support; implementing the goal of macroeconomic stability to suit the period of international economic integration and improving national competitiveness.
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Journal: MSL | Year: 2020 | Volume: 10 | Issue: 5 | Views: 8159

 
6.

Foreign portfolio investment, returns, exchange rate and inflation for Zimbabwe: A Granger Causality and EGARCH approach Pages 193-206 PDF Download PDF

Authors: Talent Kondo, Simba Mutsvangwa, Felix Chari, Sithokozile Bafan

doi 10.5267/j.ac.2024.7.003

๐Ÿ”‘ Keywords: FPI, Zimbabwe Stock Exchange, Exchange Rate, Inflation, EGARCH

Abstract:
This paper analyses the causal relationship between Foreign Portfolio Investment (FPI), Equities Market Volatility, Exchange Rate and Inflation in Zimbabwe using a monthly time series data between October 2018 and November 2021. The granger causality model was used to present the link between the variables, and EGARCH was used to account for volatility and asymmetric effects on the variables. To incorporate innovations and responses into the Granger model, impulse response functions were used. Links between exchange rate and foreign portfolio investments were found. This only suggests that exchange rate volatility will vary when overseas investors purchase and sell financial securities on the Zimbabwe Stock Exchange (ZSE). In contrast, foreign investors sell local financial securities when local stock market returns are negative, leading to a significant outflow of foreign portfolio investment thereby reducing demand for currency. A significant causal relationship was found between the volatility of the exchange rate and stock market returns. It is assumed that stock market returns, and foreign portfolio investments are caused by fluctuating currency rates. The relationship between exchange rate and ZSE returns, and inflation was found based on Granger causality. This implies that stocks are not suitable for long-term investments that compensate investors for their diminished purchasing power. Policy makers should advise the Zimbabwe Stock Exchange to recommend a reduction in capital gains tax and withholding tax and this encourages investors to hold local equities for a long time.
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Journal: AC | Year: 2024 | Volume: 10 | Issue: 4 | Views: 1190

 
7.

Stocking and price-reduction decisions for non-instantaneous deteriorating items under time value of money Pages 89-110 PDF Download PDF

Authors: Freddy Andrรฉs Pรฉrez, Fidel Torres, Daniel Mendoza

doi 10.5267/j.ijiec.2018.3.001

๐Ÿ”‘ Keywords: Inventory, Non-instantaneous deterioration, Time value of money, Inflation, Discounted selling price, Shortages under Inflationary

Abstract:
Deteriorating inventory models are used as decision support tools for managers primarily, although not exclusively, in the retail trade. The mathematical modeling of deteriorating items allows managers to analyze their inventory management systems to identify areas that can be improved and to measure the corresponding potential benefits. This study develops an enhanced deteriorating inventory model for optimizing the inventory control strategy of companies operating in sectors with deteriorating products. In contrast with previous studies, our model holistically accounts for the overall financial effect of a companyโ€™s policies on product price discounting and on inventory shortages while considering the time value of money (TVM). We aim to find the optimal replenishment strategy and the optimal price reductions that maximize the discounted profit function of this analytical model over a fixed planning horizon. To this end, we use an economic order quantity model to study the effects of the TVM and inflation. The model accounts for pre- and post-deterioration discounts on the selling price for non-instantaneous deteriorating products with the demand rate being a function of time, price-discounts and stock-keeping units. Shortages are allowed and partially backordered, depending on the waiting time until the next replenishment. Additionally, we consider the effect of discounts on the selling price when items have either an instant deterioration or a fixed lifetime. We propose five implementable solutions for obtaining the optimal values, and examine their performance. We present some numerical examples to illustrate the applicability of the models, and carry out a sensitivity analysis. The study reveals that accounting for TVM and inventory shortages is complex and time-consuming; nevertheless, we find that accounting for TVM and shortages can be valuable in terms of increasing the yields of companies. Finally, we provide some important managerial implications to support decision-making processes.
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Journal: IJIEC | Year: 2019 | Volume: 10 | Issue: 1 | Views: 2761

 
8.

Analysis of factors affecting stock prices in mining sector: Evidence from Indonesia Stock Exchange Pages 1701-1710 PDF Download PDF

Authors: Zakia Maulida Antono, Adam Amril Jaharadak, Abdul Ali Khatibi

doi 10.5267/j.msl.2019.5.018

๐Ÿ”‘ Keywords: Stock Price, Price to Earnings Ratio (PER), World Oil Price, Inflation, Exchange Rate, Mining Sector Companies

Abstract:
The stock prices of mining companies are affected by several factors, such as world oil price, inflation, exchange rate, and Price to Earnings Ratio (PER), political affairs, basic metal prices, etc. The objective of this study is to analyze the effects of some factors influencing the stock prices of the mining companies including Price to Earnings Ratio (PER), world oil price, inflation, and exchange rate. Secondary data from Annual Reports of Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX), Energy Information Administration (EIA), and Bank Indonesia are used as the sources of data analysis. 35 mining companies are selected as samples from four mining sub-sectors; namely coal, oil & gas, other metal & mineral, and rock. The results are analyzed by using panel data regression analysis model through applying EVIEWS 10. The results indicate that Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) and world oil price had positive and significant effects on stock price. Moreover, inflation has negative and significant effect on the stock price while exchange rate has no significant effect on stock price.

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Journal: MSL | Year: 2019 | Volume: 9 | Issue: 10 | Views: 6588

 
9.

A study on the relationship between money supply and inflation in Vietnam from 2005 to 2021 Pages 395-402 PDF Download PDF

Authors: Van Anh Thi Nguyen, Thanh Tung Hoang, Duc Anh Le

doi 10.5267/j.ac.2022.7.001

๐Ÿ”‘ Keywords: Relationship, Currency, Money supply, Monetary policy, Inflation

Abstract:
The study examines the relationship between money supply and inflation in Vietnam in the period of 2005-2021. The relationship between money supply and inflation is addressed in economic theories and models and has been studied by many experts in different economies in different periods. To examine the relationship between money supply and inflation in Vietnam in the period of 2005-2021, the research team collected data on money supply and inflation rate, then analyzed this relationship during three periods of 2005-2011, 2012-2019 and 2019-2021. Next, the research team collected data on money supply (MS - total means of payment) and consumer price index (CPI), quarterly data from the first quarter of 2005 to the fourth quarter of 2021 and uses Eviews 8 software for analyzing. The research team uses a linear regression model to evaluate the impact of money supply growth (GMS) on consumer price index (CPI), a variable representing the inflation rate, of Vietnam during the research period. The model results support the view that money supply growth and past inflation are among the factors affecting inflation in Vietnam. From the research results and the actual money supply, the money supply growth rate as well as the inflation rate in Vietnam during the research period, the research team makes some policy recommendations to achieve the targets of supporting economic recovery, controlling inflation, stabilizing the macro-economy in Vietnam after the Covid-19 pandemic.
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Journal: AC | Year: 2022 | Volume: 8 | Issue: 4 | Views: 1939

 
10.

Determinants of foreign direct investment in Southeast and South Asian countries Pages 409-418 PDF Download PDF

Authors: Yolanda Yolanda, Sumarni Sumarni, Muslim Kamil

doi 10.5267/j.ac.2022.6.001

๐Ÿ”‘ Keywords: Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), Inflation, wage, Exchange Rate, Market Size and Trade openness

Abstract:
The purpose of this study is to describe the Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) determinants of 6 countries, each of which is 3 countries from Southeast Asia and South Asia. Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) shows capital flows in 6 countries (Indonesia, Philippines, Malaysia, India, Pakistan and Bangladesh) that are affected by inflation, wage, Exchange Rate, Market Size and Trade Openness. The research method used is the regression of panel data for the period 2004-2019 from 6 countries in Southeast Asia obtained from the World Bank database. The results showed simultaneously and partially variable wage, exchange rate, market size and trade openness had a significant relationship with FDI inflows, except for variable inflation at ฮฑ = 10%. Of the several variables studied, the dominant variable affecting the inflow of FDI in a country is the size of the market and followed by the wage level. In addition, of the 6 countries studied by countries that have great potential as recipients of FDI is Philippines.
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Journal: AC | Year: 2022 | Volume: 8 | Issue: 4 | Views: 1381

 
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