This study investigates how effectively European Union Member States transform circular economy (CE) practices into social well-being, addressing a critical but underexplored dimension of circular transition research. While existing CE assessments primarily emphasize material flows, recycling performance, and resource productivity, far less is known about how circularity contributes to consumer-relevant and inclusive social outcomes. Using an output-oriented Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) framework under variable returns to scale, the study evaluates the social efficiency of CE across 27 EU countries, drawing on indicators of circular material use, material intensity, international recycling flows, self-perceived health, social inclusion, and real income. The results reveal substantial heterogeneity in social efficiency, showing that higher levels of circular activity do not automatically translate into stronger well-being outcomes for consumers. Countries such as Denmark, Finland, Estonia, Ireland, Luxembourg, and Spain achieve full efficiency, indicating effective alignment between circularity practices, welfare structures, and socially inclusive outcomes. Conversely, several countries operate under decreasing returns to scale, suggesting that CE initiatives may dilute social effects and generate uneven distributional outcomes when implemented beyond their optimal capacity. Overall, the findings highlight the importance of policy coherence, institutional capability, and consumer-oriented governance in ensuring that circular economy strategies deliver inclusive and socially sustainable benefits.
