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Growing Science » Tags cloud » Demand forecasting

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Sort articles by: ๐Ÿ“– Volume | ๐Ÿ“… Date | โญ Most Rates | ๐Ÿ‘๏ธ Most Views | ๐Ÿš€ Rising Stars | ๐Ÿ”— Citations (Scopus) | ๐Ÿ”ฅ Hot Papers
1.

Supply and demand prediction by 3PL for assortment planning Pages 97-112 Right click to download the paper Download PDF

Authors: Mariusz Kmiecik

doi 10.5267/j.msl.2024.5.001

๐Ÿ”‘ Keywords: 3PL, Demand forecasting, Supply forecasting, ARIMA, Assortment planning

Abstract:
To underscore the critical role of predictive capabilities in third-party logistics (3PL) companies for assortment planning, particularly within the rapidly evolving e-commerce sector and business to business (B2B) flows. This study employs a comprehensive literature review on the forecasting capabilities of 3PL firms, enriched by empirical research across nine logistics facilities. It leverages statistical tools and the ARIMA_PLUS algorithm to evaluate the precision and dependability of demand and supply forecasts generated by these companies. The research reveals that 3PLs possess the ability to generate accurate demand and supply forecasts utilizing advanced forecasting tools. The effectiveness of these forecasts is closely linked to the quality of data available, and the expertise of the personnel involved. Challenges arise in forecasting for smaller order volumes, which are more common in e-commerce flows. The study also highlights that technological advancements and investments in data analytics are pivotal in enhancing forecast accuracy. The investigation focuses on a select group of 3PL companies, potentially limiting the generalizability of the findings. Moreover, the study underscores the necessity for further exploration into how technological innovations impact forecasting capabilities. By emphasizing the significance of 3PL firms' predictive abilities, also for e-commerce assortment planning, this paper addresses a notable gap in existing research. Its insights are invaluable for businesses contemplating logistics outsourcing and for 3PL providers aiming to advance their forecasting proficiency. The findings stress the importance of integrating advanced forecasting models and analytics to stay competitive in the dynamic e-commerce landscape.
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Journal: MSL | Year: 2025 | Volume: 15 | Issue: 2 | Views: 1538

 
2.

An integrated approach for modern supply chain management: Utilizing advanced machine learning models for sentiment analysis, demand forecasting, and probabilistic price prediction Pages 237-248 Right click to download the paper Download PDF

Authors: Issam Amellal, Asmae Amellal, Hamid Seghiouer, Mohammed Rida Ech-Charrat

doi 10.5267/j.dsl.2023.9.003

๐Ÿ”‘ Keywords: Supply Chain Management, Demand Forecasting, Sentiment Analysis, Price prediction, Machine Learning, Probabilistic Models

Abstract:
In the contemporary business landscape, effective interpretation of customer sentiment, accurate demand forecasting, and precise price prediction are pivotal in making strategic decisions and efficiently allocating resources. Harnessing the vast array of data available from social media and online platforms, this paper presents an integrative approach employing machine learning, deep learning, and probabilistic models. Our methodology leverages the BERT transformer model for customer sentiment analysis, the Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) model for demand forecasting, and the Bayesian Network for price prediction. These state-of-the-art techniques are adept at managing large-scale, high-dimensional data and uncovering hidden patterns, surpassing traditional statistical methods in performance. By bridging these diverse models, we aim to furnish businesses with a comprehensive understanding of their customer base and market dynamics, thus equipping them with insights to make informed decisions, optimize pricing strategies, and manage supply chain uncertainties effectively. The results demonstrate the strengths and areas for improvement of each model, ultimately presenting a robust and holistic approach to tackling the complex challenges of modern supply chain management.
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Journal: DSL | Year: 2024 | Volume: 13 | Issue: 1 | Views: 2174

 
3.

Integrating fuzzy Delphi method with artificial neural network for demand forecasting of power engineering company Pages 1491-1504 Right click to download the paper Download PDF

Authors: Golam Kabir, Razia Sultana Sumi

๐Ÿ”‘ Keywords: Delphi method, Demand Forecasting, Artificial Neural Network

Abstract:
An organization has to make the right decisions in time depending on demand information to enhance the commercial competitive advantage in a constantly fluctuating business environment. Therefore, estimating the demand quantity for the next period most likely appears to be crucial. Manufacturing companies consider forecasting a crucial process for effectively guiding several activities, and research has devoted particular attention to this issue. The objective of the paper is to propose a new forecasting mechanism which is modeled by integrating Fuzzy Delhi Method (FDM) with Artificial Neural Network (ANN) techniques to manage the demand with incomplete information. Artificial neural networks has been applied as it is capable to model complex, nonlinear processes without having to assume the form of the relationship between input and output variables. The effectiveness of the proposed approach to the demand forecasting issue is demonstrated for a 20/25 MVA Distribution Transformer from Energypac Engineering Limited, a leading power engineering company of Bangladesh.
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Journal: MSL | Year: 2012 | Volume: 2 | Issue: 5 | Views: 3484

 
4.

Predicting demand in a bottled water supply chain using classical time series forecasting models Pages 65-80 Right click to download the paper Download PDF

Authors: Ovundah Wofuru-Nyenke, Tobinson Briggs

doi 10.5267/j.jfs.2022.9.006

๐Ÿ”‘ Keywords: Demand Forecasting, Moving Average, Exponential Smoothing, Holtโ€™s Model, Winterโ€™s Model

Abstract:
In this paper, various classical time series forecasting methods were compared to determine the forecasting method with the highest accuracy in predicting demand of the 50cl product of a bottled water supply chain. The classical time series forecasting methods compared are the moving average, weighted moving average, exponential smoothing, adjusted exponential smoothing, linear trend line, Holtโ€™s model, and Winterโ€™s model. These methods were evaluated to determine the method with the least Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) value and hence the highest forecasting accuracy. From the results, the weighted moving average forecasting method had the lowest MAD value of 1,987, making it the forecasting method with the highest accuracy for predicting the 50cl bottled water demand. While the exponential smoothing forecasting method had the highest MAD value of 2,483, making it the forecasting method with the least accuracy for predicting the 50cl bottled water demand. This research provides a procedure for aiding supply chain analysts in implementing demand forecasting using classical time series forecasting models.
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Journal: JFS | Year: 2022 | Volume: 2 | Issue: 2 | Views: 1951

 

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