How to cite this paper
Mohammadi, S., Rahmani, M & Azadi, M. (2015). Optimization of continuous ranked probability score using PSO.Decision Science Letters , 4(3), 373-378.
Refrences
Eckel, F. A., Allen, M. S., & Sittel, M. C. (2012). Estimation of ambiguity in ensemble forecasts. Weather and Forecasting, 27(1), 50-69.
Estephenson, D. (2007). An introduction to probability forecasting. In Seasonal Climate: Forecasting and Managing Risk, Netherlands: Springer, pp. 241-264.
Fletcher, R. (1970). A new approach to variable metric algorithms. The computer journal, 13(3), 317-322.
Gneiting, T., Raftery, A. E., Westveld III, A. H., & Goldman, T. (2005). Calibrated probabilistic forecasting using ensemble model output statistics and minimum CRPS estimation. Monthly Weather Review, 133(5), 1098-1118.
Gneiting, T., & Raftery, A. E. (2007). Strictly proper scoring rules, prediction, and estimation. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 102(477), 359-378.
Hamill, T. M. (2001). Interpretation of rank histograms for verifying ensemble forecasts. Monthly Weather Review, 129(3), 550-560.
Johnson, C., & Bowler, N. (2009). On the reliability and calibration of ensemble forecasts. Monthly Weather Review, 137(5), 1717-1720.
Kennedy, J. (2010). Particle swarm optimization. In Encyclopedia of Machine Learning (pp. 760-766). Springer US.
Palmer, T. N., Gelaro, R., Barkmeijer, J., & Buizza, R. (1998). Singular vectors, metrics, and adaptive observations. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 55(4), 633-653.
Roulston, M. S., & Smith, L. A. (2003). Combining dynamical and statistical ensembles. Tellus A, 55(1), 16-30.
Skamarock, W. C., Klemp, J. B., Dudhia, J., Gill, D. O., Barker, D. M., Wang, W., & Powers, J. G. (2005). A description of the advanced research WRF version 2 (No. NCAR/TN-468+ STR). National Center For Atmospheric Research Boulder Co Mesoscale and Microscale Meteorology Div.
Toth, Z., & Kalnay, E. (1997). Ensemble forecasting at NCEP and the breeding method. Monthly Weather Review, 125(12), 3297-3319.
Veenhuis, B. (2013). Spread Calibration of Ensemble MOS Forecasts. Monthly Weather Review, 141, 2468-2482.
Zeng, X., Pielke, R. A., & Eykholt, R. (1993). Chaos theory and its applications to the atmosphere. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 74(4), 631-644.
Estephenson, D. (2007). An introduction to probability forecasting. In Seasonal Climate: Forecasting and Managing Risk, Netherlands: Springer, pp. 241-264.
Fletcher, R. (1970). A new approach to variable metric algorithms. The computer journal, 13(3), 317-322.
Gneiting, T., Raftery, A. E., Westveld III, A. H., & Goldman, T. (2005). Calibrated probabilistic forecasting using ensemble model output statistics and minimum CRPS estimation. Monthly Weather Review, 133(5), 1098-1118.
Gneiting, T., & Raftery, A. E. (2007). Strictly proper scoring rules, prediction, and estimation. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 102(477), 359-378.
Hamill, T. M. (2001). Interpretation of rank histograms for verifying ensemble forecasts. Monthly Weather Review, 129(3), 550-560.
Johnson, C., & Bowler, N. (2009). On the reliability and calibration of ensemble forecasts. Monthly Weather Review, 137(5), 1717-1720.
Kennedy, J. (2010). Particle swarm optimization. In Encyclopedia of Machine Learning (pp. 760-766). Springer US.
Palmer, T. N., Gelaro, R., Barkmeijer, J., & Buizza, R. (1998). Singular vectors, metrics, and adaptive observations. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 55(4), 633-653.
Roulston, M. S., & Smith, L. A. (2003). Combining dynamical and statistical ensembles. Tellus A, 55(1), 16-30.
Skamarock, W. C., Klemp, J. B., Dudhia, J., Gill, D. O., Barker, D. M., Wang, W., & Powers, J. G. (2005). A description of the advanced research WRF version 2 (No. NCAR/TN-468+ STR). National Center For Atmospheric Research Boulder Co Mesoscale and Microscale Meteorology Div.
Toth, Z., & Kalnay, E. (1997). Ensemble forecasting at NCEP and the breeding method. Monthly Weather Review, 125(12), 3297-3319.
Veenhuis, B. (2013). Spread Calibration of Ensemble MOS Forecasts. Monthly Weather Review, 141, 2468-2482.
Zeng, X., Pielke, R. A., & Eykholt, R. (1993). Chaos theory and its applications to the atmosphere. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 74(4), 631-644.