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Growing Science » Authors » Mahdi Iranfar

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1.

Project risk assessment: A holistic risk identification, analysis and evaluation approach, The case of EPC projects Pages 283-300 PDF Download PDF

Authors: Mohammad Senisel Bachari, Mahdi Iranfar

doi 10.5267/j.jpm.2025.2.001

🔑 Keywords: Project risk management, Risk assessment, Risk evaluation framework, MCDM, EPC project

Abstract:
This study presents a comprehensive framework for Project Risk Management (PRM), tailored specifically for Engineering, Procurement, and Construction (EPC) projects. Addressing gaps in traditional risk assessment methodologies, the proposed approach integrates advanced techniques for risk identification, analysis, and evaluation based on risk characteristics. A three-stage framework is proposed utilizing the Delphi method for risk identification and contextualization of risks, the risk analysis stage employs the Fuzzy Level-Based Weight Assessment (F-LBWA) method to achieve fuzzy weights for risk characteristics which the risks will be evaluated by. The final evaluation stage uses the Fuzzy Combined Compromise Solution (F-CoCoSo) method to rank risks, categorizing them as threats, opportunities, or hybrids. A case study of an EPC project demonstrates the framework’s practical application, highlighting construction-phase risks as the most critical threats (negative risks) while also emphasizing opportunities (positive risks) which can be exploited. By incorporating fuzzy logic and innovative Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM) methods, the framework provides a flexible and robust tool for modern PRM.

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Journal: JPM | Year: 2025 | Volume: 10 | Issue: 2 | Views: 3147

 

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